The meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee will release a signal of great importan
The complicated 2018 has come to an end. In the current public opinion, there are different understandings and pessimistic expectations about the development situation at home and abroad in 2019.
Faced with the complicated international environment and arduous and arduous task of domestic reform, development and stability, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China held a meeting on December 13, which set the economic work for 2019 and released many heavy signals.
Five Signs of Economic Work in 2019
Signal 1: & ldquo; Five persistence & rdquo; & ldquo; Six stability & rdquo; outline the direction of economic work in 2019. The meeting emphasized that we should adhere to the general tone of steady and progressive work, adhere to new development concepts, promote high-quality development, adhere to supply-side structural reform as the main line, deepen market-oriented reform and expand high-level openness, and call for further stable employment, stable finance, stable foreign trade, stable foreign investment, stable investment and stable expectations.
Signal 2: Dialectically look at changes in international environment and domestic conditions.
The meeting stressed that we should take a dialectical view of the changes in the international environment and domestic conditions, enhance the sense of hardship, continue to seize and make good use of the important strategic opportunities for China's development, strengthen confidence, seize the initiative and unswervingly handle our own affairs.
The meeting pointed out that we should maintain strategic stability, pay attention to stability, strengthen coordination and cooperation, focus on major contradictions, grasp the rhythm and strength, and strive to achieve the optimal policy mix and the maximum overall effect.
Signal 3: Promote the high-quality development of manufacturing industry.
The meeting proposed to promote the high-quality development of manufacturing industry and promote the deep integration of advanced manufacturing industry and modern service industry.
Signal 4: Promote the formation of a strong domestic market.
The meeting pointed out that we should promote the formation of a strong domestic market and enhance the overall level of the national economy.
The meeting demanded that the strategy of Rural Revitalization should be firmly promoted, and the development of rural areas should be consolidated --- ldquo; agriculture, countryside and farmers --- rdquo; and the situation should continue to improve. Promote the coordinated development of regions and give full play to their comparative advantages.
Signal 5: We will focus on resolving outstanding problems strongly reflected by the masses.
Interpretation of Textile People's Concern
1. In the view of the central government, the upcoming year of 2019 is crucial:
The 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China is the key year to win the first century's goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way.
2. What will China do in 2019?
At the meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee, & ldquo; adhering to the general tone of steady and progressive work, & rdquo;. Since 2012, & ldquo; steady progress & rdquo; has been the general tone of China's economic work. In 2019, this old concept will certainly have new connotations.
Xu Hongcai, Deputy economist of China International Economic Exchange Center, believes that the external environment facing China's economy in 2019 is still grim. World economic growth is slowing down. Trade protectionism and unilateralism are rampant. The international financial market is full of uncertainty. Next year, imports and exports are likely to show negative growth. The downward pressure on the economy will further increase. Under these circumstances, we should better grasp the balance and temperature between “ stable and progressive ” more prominent “ six stable ” while maintaining the economic operation in a reasonable range, we should strive for the advancement of various reforms and try to gnaw down some “ hard bone ”.
In the view of Liu Yuanchun, Vice President of Renmin University of China and Dean of Economics, the core of “ Six Stabilities & rdquo; lies in “ stable expectation & rdquo; & ldquo; stable expectation & rdquo; the core lies in “ stable confidence & rdquo; & ldquo; stable consumption & rdquo; the importance of macroeconomic stability and healthy development is far greater than “ stable investment & rdquo; & ldquo; stable finance & rdquo; should not be based on “ The occurrence of systemic financial risk - rdquo; is the bottom line. In general, macro-control should be avoided from swinging between “ excessive ” and “ inferior to &rdquo.
3. How to treat the changes of international environment and domestic conditions dialectically?
Zeng Gang, director of the Banking Research Department of the Institute of Finance of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that emphasizing dialectical treatment is aimed at boosting market confidence and not to be overly pessimistic. China's pre-planned & ldquo; the three major battles & rdquo; and other work will remain firm and will adjust its policies according to changes in time, but will not change direction, be delayed or even stagnated.
4. How to promote the high-quality development of manufacturing industry?
Xin Guobin, Vice Minister of Industry and Information Technology, said that at present, China's manufacturing industry is still large but not strong. At the same time, efforts must be made to nurture and develop new industries and upgrade traditional industries, so as to promote the high-quality development of manufacturing industry.
Wang Xinzhe, chief economist of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that we should further deepen the “ release control clothing ” reform, innovate industry management methods, strengthen supervision after the event, and encourage large and medium-sized enterprises to develop smoothly; promote and improve the policy environment of industrial research and development, investment and technological transformation, further reduce the tax burden of enterprises; accelerate personnel training, promote the spirit of model workers and craftsmen; Innovation drives development and strives to expand development space.
FiveHow to understand “ strive to achieve optimal policy mix and maximum overall effect ”?
Xu Hongcai said that in order to avoid policy fragmentation and various departments acting differently, coordination should be strengthened, departmentalism should be overcome, resultant efforts should be formed, and the negative effects of policy overlap should be avoided < br />.
Li Qilin, chief economist of Lianhe Securities, believes that future policy implementation will pay more attention to result orientation and avoid the deviation of the results caused by the introduction and over-implementation of multiple documents by ministries and local governments. Specific measures include more targeted policies, better coordination among departments, and more attention to feedback in policy implementation.
SixHow to stimulate the vitality of micro-subject & rdquo;?
Analysts pointed out that next year's work will continue to focus on supporting the development of private enterprises, improving financial accessibility, alleviating various burdens, deepening the reform of state-owned enterprises, and continuously enhancing the ability of financial services to the real economy.
