As the Spring Festival is approaching, year-end stocking is also an important choice for weaving, elasticizing and polyester enterprises.
From the market point of view, after nearly half a year's downturn, the current market pessimism has eased, and the possibility of polyester raw materials falling sharply again after the year is less than last year. Therefore, this stage is indeed a good time to stock up. In addition, from the point of view of weather factors, due to the cold weather and severe fog and haze weather, this year's national logistics shutdown time is earlier than in previous years! With heavy snow everywhere, logistics is facing a huge test. Therefore, the market and weather conditions are reminding you to stock up, but also early!
Fog and haze enveloped the whole country, and logistics outage time was ahead of schedule < br />.
On December 1, a heavy air pollution occurred in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and its surrounding areas, the Fenwei Plain and the northern part of the Yangtze River Delta. Five cities issued red early warning, 73 cities issued orange early warning, and one city issued yellow early warning to start emergency management and control measures.
On the morning of December 3-4, there were sandstorms and dust storms in southern Xinjiang Basin, central and southeastern Inner Mongolia, central and Eastern Gansu, Ningxia, most of Shaanxi, Shanxi, western Henan, most of Hebei, Beijing and Tianjin.
With the cold weather and the recent severe fog and haze weather, the Ministry of Logistics issued a statement that the national logistics outage time has been determined:
.
Inner Mongolia, Tibet, Jilin and Liaoning were suspended on January 5, while Xinjiang, Gansu and Ningxia were suspended on January 10. Hebei was suspended on January 12, and Tianjin, Beijing, Shaanxi, Sichuan and Yunnan were suspended on January 13. Fujian, Guizhou, Shanxi, Henan and other places were suspended on January 15. Shanghai, Shandong, Zhejiang, Hubei, Jiangxi, Hunan, Hainan, Jiangsu, Anhui, Guangxi and other places were suspended on January 18.
Blue Warning of Cold Wave
Xin Xin, a meteorological analyst at the China Meteorological Administration, said that the Central Meteorological Observatory would have a blue warning of cold wave tonight. Personally, I think the forecast of gale cooling is a yellow card in football matches, and the warning of cold wave is a red card!
The analysis of Chinese meteorological enthusiasts points out that the cold air will descend to the south in the middle and east of China.
With the main cold air moving southward, the cooling range in the South will be very large. While the cold air moving southward, the subtropical high will also increase against the trend. A lot of water vapor will come from the Pacific Ocean, the South China Sea and the Bay of Bengal. The warm and cold air will be confronted in the south for many days. So the cold in the south is wet and cold, and it lasts for many days.
Textile manufacturer, please hold the final stock-up date of 2018 < br />.
Blizzard, cold wave blue warning double-sided attack, the logistics industry is even worse to do, in advance issued the outage schedule, logistics outage in advance or will lead to market supply problems! In the last month of 2018, timely and reasonable stock-up can not only make full preparations for the next year's work, but also is now a relatively low-cost and reasonable time for stock-up.
1. In 2019, China will implement the "Sixth Country" Standard, with fewer trucks and higher logistics costs < br />.
In the State Council's "Three-year Action Plan for Winning the Blue Sky Defense War", it was pointed out that the elimination of diesel vehicles by physical examination was the key regulatory object for the pollution control of heavy diesel vehicles. With the introduction of Guo 6, Guo 3 and Guo 4 models have been banned in many cities all day, and a few areas have restricted the entry of Guo 5 standard models into cities. Vehicles that do not conform to the Sixth National Standard have entered a state of early elimination.
The introduction of the "firewood restriction order" has also exposed many truck owners to the risk of unemployment. The new national standard makes mandatory requirements in fire prevention, flame retardant, charger protection and so on. Once the new national standard is implemented, it will lead to a straight-line increase in vehicle cost. According to the analysis of professionals in the industry, the price increase of the whole vehicle will reach more than 30% next year. The reduction of truck travel and the travel of the Sixth National Standard will increase the cost of taking goods.
2. Market confidence has increased and raw materials have shown an upward trend < br />.
Affected by the seven-week drop in international oil prices last month, the market was bleak and green. Few can rise! But good news about crude oil continued in December, and good news came from the G20 summit. First, Saudi Arabia and Russia reached an agreement on extending the output reduction agreement. Subsequently, the talks between the heads of state of China and the United States were "better than expected", and the Sino-US trade war situation was suspended. Oil prices jumped nearly 4% on Monday, boosted by the news. In addition, Alberta, Canada's largest oil producer, has decided to cut crude oil production by 325,000 barrels since January 2019, which has pushed oil prices higher. And the market of chemical fibre products has also ushered in the long-lost "red". In the later period, the mainstream price of polyester filament in the earlier period has approached the lowest price since 2018, which is basically successful, and is expected to continue to rise steadily in the later period.
There is less than one month to go before the outage of logistics. Considering the arrival of the Spring Festival holidays, enterprises that need to stock up should be reminded as early as possible so as not to delay production.
